Independent · non-commercial · publishes on a quarterly cycle|Current cycle 2026 Q3
Compound Evidence InstituteEvidence synthesis · established 2023Graded assessments of compounds, trials, methods and supply
Document set current to 30 July 2026
Public comment period · §2

Draft monograph: semaglutide, version 3 — submissions

The 14 submissions received, published in full with declared interests and secretariat responses.

Document identifier
CEI-CP-005/2
Series
Public comment period
Version
1.0
Published
03 Apr 2025
Last reviewed
03 Apr 2025
Next review
03 Apr 2026
Identifier
10.71829/cei.cp.5
Certainty
Not rated
Cycle
2025 Q1
Window
03 Feb 2025 – 20 Mar 2025
Status
Closed
Submissions
14

§2Submissions and responses

14 submissions were received. Each is published in full below with its declared interest, the secretariat response and the disposition. The Institute publishes submissions it did not accept in the same form as those it did.

Quentin Gwynne-Sarpong, MD, DPhil Metabolic medicine service, tertiary centre · industry submission
DRAFT-SEMAGLUTIDE-/003 received 04 Feb 2025

The document should not describe uses outside the approved indication

The submission is made on behalf of a marketing-authorisation holder. It states that the draft describes uses of the compound that fall outside the approved indication, that such uses are not supported by the sponsor, and that describing them may be read as legitimising them.

The sponsor asks that the sections concerned be removed, or in the alternative that they carry a prominent statement that the sponsor does not support such use.

Declared interest. Is an employee of a marketing-authorisation holder for a compound named in the draft. This submission is made on behalf of that company and is identified as an industry submission throughout.
Secretariat responseNot accepted23 Apr 2025

The secretariat does not accept this submission. The Institute records what is supplied and what is used, because a reader encountering a compound outside a regulated route is the reader most in need of an assessment of the evidence for it.

The sections remain. Every such section already states the regulatory status of the use described and states that the evidence for it is assessed separately from the evidence for the approved indication. The submission is published in full and identified as an industry submission.

Dr Rukayat Zaleski-Mbeki, MD, PhD, FESC ISO/IEC 17025-accredited contract testing laboratory
DRAFT-SEMAGLUTIDE-/009 received 08 Feb 2025

Registered trials that never reported are absent from the monograph

The respondent states that the trial list appears to be drawn from published reports, and that registered trials which completed without a report are therefore invisible. The proportion of a programme that never reported is itself a finding about the evidence base.

The respondent proposes that every registered trial of the compound be listed, with its reporting status, whether or not a report exists.

Declared interest. Has received honoraria for educational lectures from a marketing-authorisation holder of a compound named in the draft, within the preceding three years.
Secretariat responseAccepted21 Apr 2025

The secretariat accepts this submission. A trial list built from publications reproduces publication bias in the shape of the document.

The trial list now includes every registered trial the Institute identified, with its reporting status stated, and the monograph reports the proportion of registered trials for which no result has been posted or published.

Dr Wolfram Kaltenbach-Mensah, PhD (Toxicology) Health-technology assessment agency
DRAFT-SEMAGLUTIDE-/004 received 12 Feb 2025

Mechanistic claims for a peptide fragment are carried without evidence that the fragment acts as described

The respondent states that the draft repeats a mechanistic account originating in supply documentation rather than in the primary literature, and that the account attributes activity to a fragment on the basis of the activity of the parent molecule.

The respondent proposes that any mechanistic claim be traceable to a primary source and removed where it is not.

Declared interest. No financial interest. Has published a systematic review reaching a different conclusion from the draft, which the respondent declares as a non-financial interest.
Secretariat responseAccepted06 Apr 2025

The secretariat accepts this submission. A mechanism repeated from marketing material has no evidential status regardless of how widely it is repeated.

Mechanistic claims not traceable to a primary source are removed, and those retained carry their source and a statement of whether the underlying work was conducted in vitro, in animals or in humans.

Rosalind Petrossian, MSc (Clinical Trials) Regional hospital pharmacy department
DRAFT-SEMAGLUTIDE-/010 received 13 Feb 2025

The search date is not on the face of the document

The draft carries a publication date and a review date but not the date on which the evidence was last searched. Those are three different dates and only the third tells a reader how current the assessment is. A document published in one quarter may rest on a search run two quarters earlier, and nothing on the page allows that gap to be measured.

The respondent proposes that the search date be printed adjacent to every certainty rating rather than in the methods section, on the ground that a reader who acts on a rating is unlikely to have read the methods section first.

Declared interest. Employed by a university department that has received unrestricted research funding from a manufacturer of a compound in the class under assessment. The respondent had no role in that funding.
Secretariat responseAccepted26 Mar 2025

The secretariat accepts this submission. The distinction between publication, review and search dates is real and the draft did not make it visible where it mattered.

The search date is now printed adjacent to every certainty rating and is carried in the document metadata, so that the interval between the search and the reading is visible without reference to the methods section.

Dr Hyacinth Oyelaran-Steen, PhD (Chemistry), MRSC University department of pharmacy practice
DRAFT-SEMAGLUTIDE-/013 received 14 Feb 2025

The monograph does not tell a reader that a stated mass may be substantially counter-ion and water

The draft quotes vial contents in milligrams without stating whether the figure refers to peptide content or to total solids. For an acetate or trifluoroacetate salt of a peptide, the difference between the two can exceed a fifth of the stated mass.

The respondent, an analytical chemist, states that this is the single most consequential misreading in the field and that a monograph that does not address it directly is leaving the reader to discover it.

Declared interest. Holds a patent relating to a delivery technology referenced in the draft.
Secretariat responseAccepted12 Apr 2025

The secretariat accepts this submission. Moderate certainty evidence from published analytical surveys suggests that content and total solids are routinely conflated in supply documentation, and the draft did not warn the reader.

The monograph now states, at the point where vial contents are first mentioned, that a mass figure is uninterpretable unless it states whether it is peptide content or total solids, and cross-references the content standard in the analytical series.

Dr Zebedee Zaleski-Mbeki, PhD (Pharmaceutics) Endocrine surgery service
DRAFT-SEMAGLUTIDE-/002 received 19 Feb 2025

The absence of a rare harm in the trial set is presented as reassurance

The draft states that a specific serious event was not observed in the contributing trials. The respondent states that trials of the size conducted here could not have detected an event at the frequency in question, and that reporting the absence without that arithmetic converts an uninformative result into a reassuring one.

The respondent proposes that the detectable frequency be stated wherever the absence of an event is reported.

Declared interest. Holds a patent relating to a delivery technology referenced in the draft.
Secretariat responseAccepted29 Mar 2025

The secretariat accepts this submission. The Institute's own framework treats an absent event in an underpowered set as uninformative, and the draft departed from it.

Wherever the monograph reports that an event was not observed, it now states the total exposure and the frequency the contributing trials could have detected, so that the absence is read as the limit of the evidence rather than as a finding.

Dr Ottoline Fitzgerald-Nwosu, MD, MRCP Independent analytical consultancy
DRAFT-SEMAGLUTIDE-/001 received 23 Feb 2025

Adverse event frequencies are given without the denominator or the exposure period

The draft reports adverse event frequencies as percentages. The respondent states that a percentage without a denominator and without an exposure period cannot be compared with any other figure, including the corresponding figure in the comparator arm.

The respondent proposes that every frequency carry the number of participants and the exposure period over which it was observed.

Declared interest. Is a trustee of a patient organisation that has received a restricted educational grant from a manufacturer in the class under assessment.
Secretariat responseAccepted15 Apr 2025

The secretariat accepts this submission. A frequency detached from its denominator is a number without a quantity.

Every reported frequency now carries the number of participants, the number of events and the exposure period, and comparator-arm figures are reported alongside rather than in a separate table.

Dr Ludmila Tollemache, PharmD, PhD University teaching hospital, department of endocrinology
DRAFT-SEMAGLUTIDE-/005 received 27 Feb 2025

Evidence for one member of the class is presented as evidence for this compound

The draft supports a statement about this compound with a citation to a trial of a different compound in the same class. The respondent states that a class-level inference is a judgement that should be labelled as one rather than presented as direct evidence.

The respondent proposes that any class-level extrapolation be flagged at the point of use and excluded from the certainty rating for the compound itself.

Declared interest. Has used a compound in the class under assessment under prescription. Declared at the Institute's request; the Institute regards a lived-experience declaration as an interest and not as a disqualification.
Secretariat responseAccepted27 Mar 2025

The secretariat accepts this submission. Moderate certainty evidence supports several class-level statements in this area, but a class-level statement is not evidence about a particular member of the class.

Class-level inferences are now labelled at the point of use, are excluded from the certainty rating for the compound, and are reported in a separate subsection stating which compound the underlying evidence concerns.

Dr Liesbeth Quenneville, MPharm, MRPharmS Academic nephrology unit
DRAFT-SEMAGLUTIDE-/008 received 27 Feb 2025

The indication table mixes approved indications with uses for which the compound is merely supplied

The indication table lists indications in a single sequence. Some are approved by a competent authority, some are the subject of trials that have not reported, and some are uses observed in supply with no trial evidence at all.

The respondent, employed by a national competent authority and writing in a personal capacity, states that the three categories should not share a table without being distinguished in it.

Declared interest. Is a member of the Institute's external reviewer register but did not review the document under consultation.
Secretariat responseAccepted31 Mar 2025

The secretariat accepts this submission. A shared table is an implicit claim of comparable standing.

The indication table now carries a status column with three values, approved, under investigation and supplied without trial evidence, and the value is stated for every row. Rows in the third category also state that no certainty rating is assigned because there is no evidence base to rate.

Professor Ekaterina Voskresenskaya-Hill, MD, PhD Professor of Cardiovascular Medicine
DRAFT-SEMAGLUTIDE-/012 received 27 Feb 2025

Regulatory status is stated without naming the jurisdiction

The draft states that the compound is approved, or not approved, without saying by whom. The respondent, employed by a health-technology assessment body, states that approval status differs between jurisdictions for several compounds in the series and that an unqualified statement will be wrong somewhere.

The respondent proposes that every status statement name the authority and carry the date on which the status was checked.

Declared interest. Employed by a national competent authority. This submission is made in a personal capacity and does not represent the position of that authority.
Secretariat responseAccepted18 Apr 2025

The secretariat accepts this submission. An unattributed status statement is a claim the Institute cannot support.

Every regulatory status statement now names the authority, states the date on which the status was verified, and is recorded per jurisdiction rather than as a single global assertion.

Dr Dmitri Nordhagen, PhD (Chemistry), MRSC University department of pharmacy practice
DRAFT-SEMAGLUTIDE-/007 received 07 Mar 2025

A sortable table implies a comparison the underlying data do not support

The draft presents a sortable table whose columns are drawn from sources of differing quality. The respondent states that sorting on such a column produces an ordering that looks like a ranking and is not one.

The respondent proposes that sorting be disabled on any column whose values are not commensurable.

Declared interest. Has received consultancy fees from a supplier named in the Institute's supplier assessment set within the preceding two years.
Secretariat responseNoted, no amendment10 Apr 2025

The secretariat notes this submission and records that the point is correct in principle.

No amendment arises here because every sortable table in the document set already carries a standing statement above it that the ordering is not a ranking and that the values in each column are commensurable only where the column header says so. The proposal to disable sorting was considered and not adopted, because a reader who cannot sort a table generally sorts it elsewhere and without the statement.

Dr Amara Vandergraaf, MD, MRCP Independent analytical consultancy · industry submission
DRAFT-SEMAGLUTIDE-/014 received 11 Mar 2025

Two factual descriptions of the sponsor's programme are inaccurate

The submission is made on behalf of the marketing-authorisation holder and is confined to two matters of fact. The draft describes a trial as terminated where the sponsor closed it at a pre-specified interim analysis, and gives a dose in a unit that does not match the approved labelling.

Supporting documentation, comprising the published trial report and the current summary of product characteristics, accompanied the submission. No view is expressed on the certainty ratings, which the sponsor considers a matter for the assessment committee.

Declared interest. Is an employee of a marketing-authorisation holder for a compound named in the draft. This submission is made on behalf of that company and is identified as an industry submission throughout.
Secretariat responseAccepted29 Mar 2025

The secretariat accepts this submission. Both points are matters of fact, both were checkable against documents the Institute holds, and both were wrong in the draft.

The trial status now reads as completed at a pre-specified interim analysis, with the analysis identified, and the dose is stated in the unit used in the approved labelling. The submission is identified as an industry submission on its face in accordance with the conflicts policy.

Dr Jolyon Grünbaum-Sowande, MD, FRCP Independent evidence-synthesis consultancy
DRAFT-SEMAGLUTIDE-/006 received 15 Mar 2025

A superseded version should remain reachable from the version that replaced it

The respondent states that the draft supersedes an earlier document and that a reader who cited the earlier version has no way to reach it from the new one, which makes it impossible to see what changed.

The respondent asks that every version carry a link both to what it supersedes and to what supersedes it.

Declared interest. Is an employee of a marketing-authorisation holder for a compound named in the draft. This submission is made on behalf of that company and is identified as an industry submission throughout.
Secretariat responseNoted, no amendment20 Apr 2025

The secretariat notes this submission. The corrections and versioning policy already requires bidirectional version links and every superseded document is retained at its own address.

No amendment arises. The requirement is stated in the corrections and versioning policy and the amendment log of this document links to the version it replaced. The respondent is correct that the link was absent from the draft page furnished for consultation, which was a defect of the consultation copy and not of the policy.

Dr Prosper Vercingetorix, PharmD, PhD University teaching hospital, department of endocrinology
DRAFT-SEMAGLUTIDE-/011 received 15 Mar 2025

Trials are described as terminated where they completed as planned

The respondent states that the draft uses the word terminated for trials stopped at pre-specified interim analyses, for trials stopped for futility and for trials closed for commercial reasons, and that these are three different facts.

The respondent proposes that the status vocabulary be fixed and defined in the glossary.

Declared interest. No financial interest. Has published a systematic review reaching a different conclusion from the draft, which the respondent declares as a non-financial interest.
Secretariat responseAccepted in part17 Apr 2025

The secretariat accepts this submission in part. The vocabulary is fixed and defined. The proposal to distinguish commercial closure from futility in every case is accepted only where the Institute holds a document stating the reason.

Trial status now uses a fixed vocabulary defined in the glossary, and where the reason for stopping is not evidenced by a document the Institute holds, the status is recorded as stopped with the reason not established rather than assigned.

References cited on this page

References are numbered in order of first citation in this document. Each superscript in the text links to its entry below.

  1. International Organization for Standardization. ISO/IEC 17025:2017 General Requirements for the Competence of Testing and Calibration Laboratories. ISO/IEC Standard 2017;3rd edition. identifier not held by the Institute

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