Independent · non-commercial · publishes on a quarterly cycle|Current cycle 2026 Q3
Compound Evidence InstituteEvidence synthesis · established 2023Graded assessments of compounds, trials, methods and supply
Document set current to 30 July 2026
Indication assessment · Cardiovascular

Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and cardiovascular risk reduction — indication assessment

Established atherosclerotic disease of the coronary, cerebral or peripheral arterial beds, or a risk profile sufficient for enrolment in a cardiovascular outcome trial.

Document identifier
CEI-IN-03
Series
Indication assessment
Version
2.0
Published
23 Feb 2025
Last reviewed
23 Feb 2025
Next review
23 Feb 2027
Identifier
10.71829/cei.ind.3
Certainty
Not rated
Cycle
2025 Q1
ICD-11
BA00–BA8Z
Category
Cardiovascular

§1Assessment

§1.1Definition

Established atherosclerotic disease of the coronary, cerebral or peripheral arterial beds, or a risk profile sufficient for enrolment in a cardiovascular outcome trial.

§1.2Anchor and additional outcomes

The Institute designates one anchor outcome per indication so that estimates for different compounds are reported on a common measure. The anchor for this indication is the first outcome below.

  1. Three-point major adverse cardiovascular events (cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke)
  2. Cardiovascular death
  3. All-cause death
  4. Hospitalisation for heart failure

§1.3State of the evidence

Distribution of certainty ratingsShare of assessed outcomes at each certainty level.11compounds
HighModerateLowVery low
Figure 1. Certainty ratings across the 11 compounds the Institute assesses for this indication. A high rating for one compound says nothing about another.

The Institute assesses 11 compounds in this indication, drawing on 71 trial records and 14 evidence syntheses. [1,2]

References cited on this page

References are numbered in order of first citation in this document. Each superscript in the text links to its entry below.

  1. Gerstein HC, Colhoun HM, Dagenais GR, Diaz R, Lakshmanan M, Pais P, Probstfield J, Riesmeyer JS, Riddle MC, Rydén L, Xavier D, Atisso CM, Dyal L, Hall S, Rao-Melacini P, Wong G, Avezum A, Basile J, Chung N, Conget I. Dulaglutide and cardiovascular outcomes in type 2 diabetes (REWIND): a double-blind, randomised placebo-controlled trial. The Lancet 2019;394(10193):121–130. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(19)31149-3 · PMID 31189511
  2. Pratley RE, Aroda VR, Lingvay I, Lüdemann J, Andreassen C, Navarria A, Viljoen A. Semaglutide versus dulaglutide once weekly in patients with type 2 diabetes (SUSTAIN 7): a randomised, open-label, phase 3b trial. The Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology 2018;6(4):275–286. doi:10.1016/S2213-8587(18)30024-X · PMID 29397376

Identifiers are reproduced only where the Institute holds them. Where a digital object identifier or PubMed identifier is not shown, the Institute has recorded the journal and year and has not constructed an identifier.

Nothing published by the Institute is medical advice, a diagnosis, a prescription, a treatment recommendation or a purchasing recommendation. Compounds supplied for research use are not approved for human or veterinary use in any jurisdiction, and a favourable analytical assessment of a supplier is not a statement that any product is safe or effective. The Institute publishes certainty ratings and never recommendations. No telephone number, messaging handle or ordering channel appears anywhere on this site.