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Compound monograph · evidence extract

Semaglutide in obesity and overweight in adults — evidence extract

The Institute's graded assessment of Semaglutide for obesity and overweight in adults, with the contributing trials and the domain-by-domain certainty reasoning.

Document identifier
CEI-MN-001/EV-OBESITY
Series
Evidence extract
Version
1.1
Published
16 Sep 2023
Last reviewed
16 Aug 2024
Next review
16 Aug 2026
Identifier
10.71829/cei.mono.1
Certainty
High
Cycle
2023 Q3

§1Evidence extract: Obesity and overweight in adults

§1.1Question and anchor outcome

Population
Excess adiposity sufficient to impair health, operationalised in the pivotal incretin programmes as a body-mass index of 30 kg/m² or above, or 27 kg/m² or above with at least one weight-related comorbidity.
Intervention
Semaglutide, subcutaneous once weekly; oral once daily with a permeation enhancer (see separate monograph)
Comparator
As used in each contributing trial; reported per trial rather than pooled across comparator types
Anchor outcome
Percentage change in body weight from baseline

Additional outcomes the Institute extracts for this indication: Proportion achieving ≥5 %, ≥10 %, ≥15 % and ≥20 % weight reduction; Change in waist circumference; Change in systolic blood pressure; Change in high-sensitivity C-reactive protein.

§1.2Contributing trials

Table 1. Trials contributing to the assessment of Semaglutide in obesity and overweight in adults.

TrialPhaseDesignRandomisedDurationYear
STEP-13Randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled1,96168 weeks2021
STEP-33Randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled61168 weeks2021
STEP-43Randomised withdrawal80348 weeks after a 20-week run-in2021
STEP-53Randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled304104 weeks2022
STEP-83Randomised, double-blind, active-controlled33868 weeks2022

§1.3Certainty assessment

Certainty assessment by domainDowngrading decision recorded for each certainty domain.Certainty domainNo concernSeriousVery seriousEffect on ratingRisk of biasno downgradeInconsistencyno downgradeIndirectnessno downgradeImprecisionno downgradePublication biasno downgradeTotal downgrading: 0 levelsHigh certainty
Figure 2. Domain-by-domain certainty assessment for Semaglutide in obesity and overweight in adults. The starting rating for a body of randomised evidence is high; each serious concern reduces it by one level and each very serious concern by two.

Table 2. Reasoning recorded against each certainty domain.

DomainRatingReasoning
Risk of biasNo concernNo serious concern identified in this domain.
InconsistencyNo concernNo serious concern identified in this domain.
IndirectnessNo concernNo serious concern identified in this domain.
ImprecisionNo concernNo serious concern identified in this domain.
Publication biasNo concernNo serious concern identified in this domain.
Overall rating: High certainty. The Institute is confident that the true effect lies close to the estimate. Further research is very unlikely to change confidence in the estimate.

§1.4What this extract does not establish

References cited on this page

References are numbered in order of first citation in this document. Each superscript in the text links to its entry below.

  1. Wilding JPH, Batterham RL, Calanna S, Davies M, Van Gaal LF, Lingvay I, McGowan BM, Rosenstock J, Tran MTD, Wadden TA, Wharton S, Yokote K, Zeuthen N, Kushner RF. Once-weekly semaglutide in adults with overweight or obesity. New England Journal of Medicine 2021;384(11):989–1002. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2032183 · PMID 33567185
  2. Davies M, Færch L, Jeppesen OK, Pakseresht A, Pedersen SD, Perreault L, Rosenstock J, Shimomura I, Viljoen A, Wadden TA, Lingvay I. Semaglutide 2·4 mg once a week in adults with overweight or obesity, and type 2 diabetes (STEP 2): a randomised, double-blind, double-dummy, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial. The Lancet 2021;397(10278):971–984. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(21)00213-0 · PMID 33667417
  3. Wadden TA, Bailey TS, Billings LK, Davies M, Frias JP, Koroleva A, Lingvay I, O’Neil PM, Rubino DM, Skovgaard D, Wallenstein SOR, Garvey WT. Effect of subcutaneous semaglutide vs placebo as an adjunct to intensive behavioral therapy on body weight in adults with overweight or obesity: the STEP 3 randomized clinical trial. JAMA 2021;325(14):1403–1413. doi:10.1001/jama.2021.1831 · PMID 33625476

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