Independent · non-commercial · publishes on a quarterly cycle|Current cycle 2026 Q3
Compound Evidence InstituteEvidence synthesis · established 2023Graded assessments of compounds, trials, methods and supply
Document set current to 30 July 2026
Trial abstract · §4

ATTAIN-2-ELDERLY — certainty assessment

Domain-by-domain assessment of the certainty of the evidence this trial contributes.

Document identifier
CEI-TR-0188/4
Series
Trial abstract
Version
1.0
Published
22 Mar 2025
Last reviewed
22 May 2026
Next review
22 May 2028
Identifier
10.71829/cei.trial.188
Certainty
Very low
Cycle
2025 Q1
Phase
Phase 3
Status
Reported

Institute-constructed programme record. This document is not a report of a published trial. It is a record the Institute has constructed to represent an instalment, sub-study or extension of a real development programme, published in order to carry a methodological point that the parent trial report does not address. No effect estimate on this page is attributable to any publication, and its reference-list entry carries a programme-record label rather than a citation. The policy governing these records was settled through a public comment period.

§4Certainty assessment

Certainty assessment by domainDowngrading decision recorded for each certainty domain.Certainty domainNo concernSeriousVery seriousEffect on ratingRisk of biasdowngrade two levelsInconsistencyno downgradeIndirectnessdowngrade one levelImprecisionno downgradePublication biasno downgradeTotal downgrading: 3 levelsVery low certainty
Figure 1. Domain-by-domain certainty assessment for the primary endpoint of ATTAIN-2-ELDERLY. Randomised evidence starts at high; each serious concern reduces the rating by one level and each very serious concern by two.

§4.1Reasoning by domain

Table 6. Certainty domains, the rating recorded against each, and the reasoning.

DomainRatingReasoning
Risk of biasLimitations in the design and conduct of the contributing studies.Very seriousContributing trials are sponsor-conducted and one is open-label.
InconsistencyUnexplained heterogeneity of results across contributing studies.No concernNo serious concern identified in this domain.
IndirectnessDifferences between the population, intervention, comparator or outcome studied and those of the assessment question.SeriousThe comparator differs across contributing trials.
ImprecisionWidth of the confidence interval relative to the decision threshold, and the number of events.No concernNo serious concern identified in this domain.
Publication biasRisk that results were selectively reported or that unpublished studies exist.No concernNo serious concern identified in this domain.

§4.2Sponsorship

Manufacturer-sponsored. The Institute does not downgrade certainty for sponsorship as a separate domain, because doing so would double-count risk of bias as conventionally assessed. It records sponsorship on the front matter of every trial abstract, and treats the uniformity of sponsorship across this compound class as a limitation of the evidence base rather than of any individual trial. The reasoning is set out in the methodological review of sponsor-generated evidence.

§4.3What this trial does not establish

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