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Document set current to 30 July 2026
Evidence synthesis · Intervention review

Kidney outcomes with incretin receptor agonists in chronic kidney disease

In adults with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease, what is the effect of a glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist on kidney outcomes?

Document identifier
CEI-ES-008
Series
Evidence synthesis
Version
2.2
Published
07 Oct 2025
Last reviewed
07 May 2026
Next review
07 Nov 2027
Identifier
10.71829/cei.syn.8
Certainty
High
Cycle
2025 Q4
Review type
Intervention review
Search executed
02 Sep 2025

§1Abstract

§1.1Review question

In adults with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease, what is the effect of a glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist on kidney outcomes?

§1.2PICO frame

Table 1. The registered PICO frame. Any change made after protocol registration is recorded in the amendment log at §5 and is identified there as post hoc.

ElementAs registered
PopulationAdults with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease defined by estimated glomerular filtration rate and albuminuria criteria.
InterventionA glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist added to standard care including renin–angiotensin system blockade.
ComparatorPlacebo added to standard care.
OutcomesComposite kidney outcome; annual estimated glomerular filtration rate slope; kidney replacement therapy; death from kidney causes.

§1.3Method in brief

A review of the effects of an intervention on pre-specified outcomes, with a quantitative synthesis where the contributing studies are sufficiently similar. The protocol was registered with the Institute's secretariat before the search was executed. The search was run on 2 September 2025 across 8 sources and is reproduced in full at §2. Screening, extraction and certainty assessment were performed independently by two members of the secretariat with disagreement resolved by a third.[1]

§1.4Conclusion

High certainty evidence from one dedicated event-driven trial, supported by kidney outcomes collected within cardiovascular outcome trials, indicates a reduction in the composite kidney outcome. The dedicated trial was stopped early for efficacy, which the Institute records as a source of modest effect-size inflation, and the estimate is reproduced with that qualification wherever it appears in the document set.

The conclusion rests on 14 contributing studies, listed with their extracted data at §3 and summarised outcome by outcome at §4.

§1.5Limitations

§1.6Consultation

This review was released for public comment before ratification. Draft synthesis: Kidney outcomes with incretin receptor agonists in chronic kidney disease received 11 submissions. Amendments arising are recorded in the amendment log and are traceable to a numbered submission.

References cited on this page

References are numbered in order of first citation in this document. Each superscript in the text links to its entry below.

  1. Perkovic V, Tuttle KR, Rossing P, Mahaffey KW, Mann JFE, Bakris G, Baeres FMM, Idorn T, Bosch-Traberg H, Lausvig NL, Pratley R. Effects of semaglutide on chronic kidney disease in patients with type 2 diabetes. New England Journal of Medicine 2024;391(2):109–121. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2403347 · PMID 38785209

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