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Compound Evidence InstituteEvidence synthesis · established 2023Graded assessments of compounds, trials, methods and supply
Document set current to 30 July 2026
Evidence synthesis · §3

Kidney outcomes with incretin receptor agonists in chronic kidney disease — included and excluded studies

The included-studies table with extracted data, the exclusions with reasons, and the risk-of-bias judgements.

Document identifier
CEI-ES-008/3
Series
Evidence synthesis
Version
2.2
Published
07 Oct 2025
Last reviewed
07 May 2026
Next review
07 Nov 2027
Identifier
10.71829/cei.syn.8
Certainty
High
Cycle
2025 Q4
Review type
Intervention review
Search executed
02 Sep 2025

§3Included and excluded studies

Every study contributing to this review is listed below with the data extracted from it. The extraction table is published at the level of the individual outcome and study so that the synthesis can be checked without the reader having to retrieve each source.

§3.1Included studies

Table 4. Included studies with the characteristics extracted from each.

StudyDesignRandomisedDurationAnchor outcome as reportedYear
STRIDESemaglutideRandomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled79252 weeksEstimated treatment ratio 1.13 (95 % CI 1.06 to 1.21)2025
FLOWSemaglutideEvent-driven kidney outcome trial3,533Median 3.4 yearsHazard ratio 0.76 (95 % CI 0.66 to 0.88); annual eGFR slope difference 1.16 mL/min/1.73 m² per year2024
STEP-HFpEF-DMSemaglutideRandomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled61652 weeksDirectionally consistent with STEP-HFpEF with a smaller weight effect, as expected in a population with diabetes2024
STEP-2SemaglutideRandomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled1,21068 weeksMean change −9.6 % with semaglutide 2.4 mg versus −3.4 % with placebo; the effect is attenuated relative to STEP 1, which the Institute records as a consistent…2021
AWARD-11DulaglutideRandomised, double-blind, active-controlled1,84236 weeksDose-dependent additional glycaemic and weight effect at 3.0 mg and 4.5 mg2020
REWINDDulaglutideEvent-driven cardiovascular outcome trial9,901Median 5.4 yearsHazard ratio 0.88 (95 % CI 0.79 to 0.99)2019
AWARD-7DulaglutideRandomised, open-label, active-controlled57652 weeksNon-inferior glycaemic control with a smaller decline in eGFR than insulin glargine2018
HARMONY-OUTCOMESDulaglutideEvent-driven cardiovascular outcome trial9,463Median 1.6 yearsHazard ratio 0.78 (95 % CI 0.68 to 0.90)2018
SUSTAIN-7SemaglutideRandomised, double-blind, active-controlled1,20140 weeksDifference −0.41 percentage points (95 % CI −0.57 to −0.25) for semaglutide 1.0 mg versus dulaglutide 1.5 mg2018
SUSTAIN-1SemaglutideRandomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled38830 weeksReduction of 1.5 percentage points with 1.0 mg versus 0.0 with placebo2017
SUSTAIN-6SemaglutideEvent-driven cardiovascular outcome trial3,297104 weeksHazard ratio 0.74 (95 % CI 0.58 to 0.95); designed to exclude harm rather than to establish benefit2016
AWARD-1DulaglutideRandomised, double-blind, active-controlled97626 weeksSuperior to exenatide twice daily and to placebo2014
AWARD-5DulaglutideRandomised, double-blind, active-controlled1,09852 weeksSuperior to sitagliptin at both doses2014
AWARD-6DulaglutideRandomised, open-label, active-controlled59926 weeksNon-inferior to liraglutide 1.8 mg2014
14 included studies. Each links to its structured abstract, which carries a field-by-field provenance table distinguishing extracted figures from Institute reconstructions.

Contributing participants across studies reporting a randomised total: 35,492. Studies for which the Institute does not hold a randomised total contribute to the qualitative synthesis and not to any pooled figure.

§3.2Excluded at full text, with reasons

Table 5. Reports excluded at full text, by reason. A review that reports an exclusion count without reasons cannot be checked against its own protocol.

Reason for exclusionReports
Not a randomised comparison3
Population outside the review question7
Intervention outside the review question4
Comparator not eligible2
No eligible outcome reported5
Duplicate report of an included study5
Conference abstract without extractable data8
Retracted or subject to an expression of concern6
29 reports excluded at full text in total.

§3.3Risk of bias across included studies

Table 6. Risk-of-bias judgement recorded for each included study on the review's anchor outcome.

StudyRisk of biasInconsistencyIndirectnessImprecisionPublication bias
STRIDELowSomeLowLowLow
FLOWLowLowLowLowLow
STEP-HFpEF-DMLowLowSomeLowLow
STEP-2LowLowLowLowLow
AWARD-11LowLowLowLowLow
REWINDLowLowLowLowLow
AWARD-7LowSomeLowLowSome
HARMONY-OUTCOMESSomeLowLowLowLow
SUSTAIN-7LowLowLowLowLow
SUSTAIN-1LowLowLowLowLow
SUSTAIN-6LowLowLowLowLow
AWARD-1LowLowLowLowLow
AWARD-5LowLowLowLowLow
AWARD-6LowLowLowLowLow
Judgements are the Institute's own and are recorded per outcome. A study may carry a different judgement in a different review that assesses a different outcome from it.

References cited on this page

References are numbered in order of first citation in this document. Each superscript in the text links to its entry below.

  1. Perkovic V, Tuttle KR, Rossing P, Mahaffey KW, Mann JFE, Bakris G, Baeres FMM, Idorn T, Bosch-Traberg H, Lausvig NL, Pratley R. Effects of semaglutide on chronic kidney disease in patients with type 2 diabetes. New England Journal of Medicine 2024;391(2):109–121. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2403347 · PMID 38785209

Identifiers are reproduced only where the Institute holds them. Where a digital object identifier or PubMed identifier is not shown, the Institute has recorded the journal and year and has not constructed an identifier.

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